“Preliminary polls and the lack of electoral consensus among conservative parties foreshadow a vote in which the MAS will surely remain the organization with the most support, but it is impossible to foresee if the process will conclude in a first round,” he told Sputnik Juan Carlos Silva, political scientist and professor at the public university of La Paz.
The specialist stressed that in at least three polls of intention to vote the MAS appeared first with at least 10 points of advantage over the main candidates on the right.
“It is, in general, the political landscape repeated for more than a year and that it is almost impossible to change substantially in the new elections,” said the analyst.
On February 3, at the end of the candidacy registration period, the MAS registered former Minister of Economy Luis Arce as his presidential candidate and confirmed the ousted former president Evo Morales (2006-2019), his historical leader, in the list of candidates for Senate.
The conservative parties, meanwhile, registered seven candidates after failing last weekend in a final attempt to form a single front against the MAS.
These candidates include the transitional president Jeanine Áñez, ex-president Carlos Mesa (2003-2005) and Jorge Quiroga (2001-2002), and the former civic leader of the department of Santa Cruz, Luis Fernando Camacho, who ventures into politics after leading the protests that contributed to Morales’s resignation last year.
The foreseeable dispersion of the right-wing vote increases the chances that the MAS will constitute at least the first parliamentary force, if not the Government, in the May 3 elections in Bolivia, political scientist Iván Lima told the Pan American radio.