Experts reveal when the new Corona virus threat ends

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Researchers believe that the new Coronavirus, which appeared in China late last month before moving to other countries, will infect at least tens of thousands of people, and it will pass for at least several months.

And he told the professor at the University of Toronto, “David Weissmann,” who analyzed the virus, “Agence France Presse”, that the best possible scenarios are the continued spread during the spring until the end of summer.

That seemed similar to the view of Northeastern University professor Alessandro Vespiniani, who works on a team of researchers running an online epidemic tracking platform, saying: “It is not something that will end next week or next month.”

Of course, researchers’ estimates are not based on guesswork or luck strokes, given the limited data available on the new virus, but they use mathematical models to estimate the actual number of cases and compare them with previous epidemics, yet their hypotheses remain uncertain.

Until the end of last week, researchers believed that infected people were not able to transmit infection unless they showed symptoms, such as fever, respiratory problems, and pneumonia, but Chinese authorities said on Sunday that they had confirmed otherwise, as the infection could be transmitted in the incubation stage that may reach To two weeks.

For its part, the US health authorities said yesterday, Monday, that it did not reach evidence of the possibility of infection from the patient who did not show symptoms, but if this was true, it would change the dynamics of the virus outbreak.

According to the latest data from the Chinese authorities, the total number of patients with pneumonia caused by the new type of coronavirus in the country has reached 4,515, of whom 106 have died, 60 have recovered and have been discharged from hospitals.

Outside of China, injuries have been reported in Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Thailand, Japan, South Korea, the United States, Canada, Vietnam, Singapore, Nepal, France, Australia, Malaysia, and Germany.

While Taiwan recorded the first case of transmission of the new Coronavirus infection, on Tuesday, it renewed its warning against traveling to the mainland of China, saying that people should avoid going there unless it was absolutely necessary.

On the other hand, researchers at the University of Hong Kong estimated that the number of people infected with the deadly Corona virus in Wuhan, China, would reach nearly 44,000 by Saturday, including incubation cases.



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